TexasCHLforum.com

Charles L. Cotton wrote:DPS has published the crime stats for 2015 and the LTC track record gets better every year. There was a population correction for 2014 that changed the ratio. For 2014, LTCs were 20 times (actually 19.7) less likely to commit a crime than the general public. For 2015, LTCs are 21 times less likely to commit a crime.

The LTC population increased by 111,462 Licensees, but the total number of crimes by an LTC actually went down slightly. This is nothing less than astounding folks!

Remember, the crime figures for the general population published by the DPS are for persons age 21 years and over. That's the only way to make a comparison with Licensees. Therefore, the crime figures posted will be different from the overall crime stats for the State, because those will include people who are between 17 and 20 years of age. In other words, the DPS data and my analysis are conservative because the total number of crimes for the general population would be higher if they included crimes committed by people in the 17 - 20 year old bracket.

Keep up the good work LTCs! I want the folks in Austin to explain to me why we need to retain any off-limits areas for LTCs.
Chas

Charles L. Cotton wrote:DPS has published the crime stats for 2014. The numbers just keep getting better, much better! For 2014, Texas Licensees are 22.2 times less likely to commit a crime than is the general population (GP). in 2013, the general population had an overall reduction in crime of 19.6% which reduced the GP to CHLs ratio to 12.12 times less likely. The reduction in the ratio was the result of better crime figures for the GP, not poor performance by CHLs.

In 2014, the crime by the GP went down another 7.7%, yet the GP to CHL ratio still skyrocketed by over 83% to the current 22.2 times less likely to commit a crime. This is amazing folks. While the increasing number of licensees is certainly a factor in the percentage, the number of total crimes by Licensees went down from 158 to 111. That’s a total reduction of 47 (29.7%) at a time when the Licensee population went up 217,909 (30.8%).

Remember, the crime figures for the general population published by the DPS are for person age 21 years and over. That's the only way to make a comparison with Licensees. Therefore, the crime figures posted will be different from the overall crime stats for the State, because those will include people who are between 17 and 20 years of age. In other words, the DPS data and my analysis are conservative because the total number of crimes for the general population would be higher if they included crimes committed by people in the 17 - 20 year old bracket.

Keep up the good work LTCs! Of course, Bloomberg liars will ignore the truth but that's nothing new.
Chas.