Keith B wrote:There have been 3 or 4 recreations of the event that have tested if it could have been done, and yes it could. A couple even went through the conspiracy theorists most popular theories such as Oswald was seen in the building cafeteria within 1.5 minutes of the shooting and not out of breath, but they proved it could easily have been done. They also tested where he was seen by witnesses walking over in Oak Cliff after the event. Some say he couldn't have made it there that fast on foot, but they proved he could have. They also disproved the theory of additional shooters from the storm drain or grassy knoll. Final verdict IMO is Oswald was the shooter no question about it.
I agree 100%, and the problem with conspiracy theories is that they tend to run afoul of
Occam's Razor. This is a principle that "entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity," and therefore that the simplest solution is usually the correct one. The principle is also known as
lex parsimoniae, or the law of parsimony.
The problem with building a complex conspiracy theory is that it relies on a collection of secondary suppositions. Each of those suppositions must be proven in turn in order to make the conspiracy true. And if any of those supporting suppositions in turn relies on tertiary suppositions, then each of
those must be proven also for that secondary supposition to be valid. Failure to prove any single supporting supposition invalidates the entire theory. Consequently, validation is weighted toward that theory which has the fewest supporting suppositions to be proven.
President Kennedy's assassination is entirely supportable with the provable supposition of a lone gunman, namely Lee Harvey Oswald. Any assassination theory which adds in additional suppositions which in turn have to be supported leads away from a valid answer. These things are axiomatic to the study of logic. In fact, even if one started with the assumption that a cynical conspiracy leader deliberately used Occam's Razor to lead investigators away from pursuing a complex theory in favor of the simple explanation, that assumption would be itself subject to a requirement for supporting evidence as proof — and there is no such evidence.
When I say "trained rifleman," I do not mean "sniper." I mean someone who has received basic military training in the use of a rifle, or, the equivalent of that training from hunting experience or something similar. Oswald met that level of training. The sound of all three shots fired are 6 seconds apart, from beginning to end. That means that the first shot starts the clock, and Oswald now has 6 seconds to fire two more shots. Two followup shots, fired 3 seconds apart, is within the capabilities of an
average marksman using a bolt action rifle.
surprise_i'm_armed said:
IIRC, although Oswald was trained in marksmanship in the service, I don't believe that he achieved the highest proficiency rating. Contrast that with his time in the Eastern Bloc. He went hunting with some friends and they said he wasn't a good shot at all. Was he faking? Was he a bad shot?
A) Anyone who
passes USMC marksmanship requirements is a decent shot. Oswald passed. The "highest proficiency rating" is not a requirement for passing, and it is generally awarded to truly gifted shooters. If you go up to the 6th Floor Museum and look out the window right next to the one Oswald used (you can't look out the actual window as it has been separated off as a protected display), it
should convince you that anyone of average rifle shooting skills could have made this shot.
B) If you tend to believe in a conspiracy theory, why would you believe anything the Russians had to say about it? Wouldn't you assume they were trying to misdirect you, since
necessarily any Russian,
in Russia, who had contact in a social setting with Lee Harvey Oswald at that time in history would have most likely been one of his KGB handlers? Furthermore, Oswald could not own a rifle in Russia. Therefore, it absolutely follows that the rifle he used to hunt with in Russia was loaned to him by someone. How do you know that this rifle was properly zeroed? How do you know whether or not that particular rifle was deliberately
DE-accurized by KGB, so as to lend the impression on investigation that their assassin was a poor shot?

These are all tertiary suppositions that have to be proven themselves in order to prove the secondary supposition that Oswald was not a sufficient rifleman to make three (only 63 yard) shots (with a scoped rifle) from the 6th floor window of the Texas Schoolbook Depository.
Lee Harvey Oswald shot Kennedy, by himself, from the 6th floor window of the Texas Schoolbook Depository. There just isn't any other credible explanation.