who is to be held responsible

Topics that do not fit anywhere else. Absolutely NO discussions of religion, race, or immigration!

Moderators: carlson1, Charles L. Cotton

User avatar
anygunanywhere
Senior Member
Posts: 7877
Joined: Fri Apr 01, 2005 9:16 am
Location: Richmond, Texas

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by anygunanywhere »

lunchbox wrote:i dont buy the supply and demand because they have made the supply low on purpose to make the price go up
and the profits never been this high not even close
theres more here than meets the eye its not just economics 101 here
You are arguing with emotions, not facts.

The oil companies survive with smaller margins than most other sectors of business. The oil companies typically make nickels from the price you pay at the pump. You pay more for a bottle of water at the gas station than you do for the same amount of gasoline, you are paying for cleaned up tap water, the guy running the tap water filter does not have the training required of refinery operators and the water guy is not regulated by the county, state, and feds.

What is most important is that the government is replenishing the water guy's supply of tap water.

The government is preventing the refiners from drilling for oil where the oil is easily obtainable.

You can bet Nancy Pelosi is studying the geological/seismic data from the leases they say the companies should drill in instead of opening other leases.

Lunchbox, if your Texas US Congressman is a democrat, and if he does not support opening up ANWR and the other states that refuse to allow drilling, and you have not expressed your displeasure with his stance, then you are part of the problem.

What really irks me is that no one complains if Bill Gates margins increase 35% in a quarter when he sells his bundled software and sells trash operating systems. If gasoline was as defective as Windows your car would freeze up when you turned on your turn signal.

No one complains when Michael Dell's margins go up 35% in a quarter and your computer is essentially obsolete after 6-8 years, parts are not available, Bill Gates OS is not supported.

The oil companies and refiners could show lots of businesses how to survive and make money in a tight, reguulated market. Most companies would not survive.

Anygunanywhere
"When democracy turns to tyranny, the armed citizen still gets to vote." Mike Vanderboegh

"The Smallest Minority on earth is the individual. Those who deny individual rights cannot claim to be defenders of minorities." – Ayn Rand
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

mr.72 wrote:
lunchbox wrote:i dont buy the supply and demand because they have made the supply low on purpose to make the price go up
and the profits never been this high not even close
theres more here than meets the eye its not just economics 101 here
The supply is not limited by Exxon... and regardless of what the supply restriction is, it is indeed low enough to support the high oil prices.

If not, then the prices would go down. Doesn't matter what is causing supply to be reduced, whether it's American politicians or Saudi princes. But if you think the problem with gasoline prices is Exxon making a profit then you definitely don't get economics 101 or if you do, you might just be a socialist.
exon is just one of the players here they just happen to be the biggest one
i think they are all one in the same really
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
User avatar
anygunanywhere
Senior Member
Posts: 7877
Joined: Fri Apr 01, 2005 9:16 am
Location: Richmond, Texas

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by anygunanywhere »

lunchbox wrote:
mr.72 wrote:
lunchbox wrote:i dont buy the supply and demand because they have made the supply low on purpose to make the price go up
and the profits never been this high not even close
theres more here than meets the eye its not just economics 101 here
The supply is not limited by Exxon... and regardless of what the supply restriction is, it is indeed low enough to support the high oil prices.

If not, then the prices would go down. Doesn't matter what is causing supply to be reduced, whether it's American politicians or Saudi princes. But if you think the problem with gasoline prices is Exxon making a profit then you definitely don't get economics 101 or if you do, you might just be a socialist.
exon is just one of the players here they just happen to be the biggest one
i think they are all one in the same really
Exxon is not the biggest oil company or refiner. They are a small player globally.

Anygunanywhere
"When democracy turns to tyranny, the armed citizen still gets to vote." Mike Vanderboegh

"The Smallest Minority on earth is the individual. Those who deny individual rights cannot claim to be defenders of minorities." – Ayn Rand
Mike1951
Senior Member
Posts: 3532
Joined: Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:06 am
Location: SE Texas

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by Mike1951 »

Then can someone tell me why my Exxon stock has dropped $14 in the last few months?
Mike
AF5MS
TSRA Life Member
NRA Benefactor Member
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

they lost points on the market????
i never saw that coming
perhaps people realize this cant go on forever and when the time comes its going to be ugly and sudden
but this is only one issue at hand there are many others
i guess gas is whats on the mind since we feel it every day
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
User avatar
DoubleJ
Senior Member
Posts: 2367
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 9:29 am
Location: Seattle, Washington

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by DoubleJ »

Mike1951 wrote:Then can someone tell me why my Exxon stock has dropped $14 in the last few months?

cause Stone Cold said so...

Image
FWIW, IIRC, AFAIK, FTMP, IANAL. YMMV.
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

DoubleJ wrote:
Mike1951 wrote:Then can someone tell me why my Exxon stock has dropped $14 in the last few months?

cause Stone Cold said so...

Image
i didnt think that due was still alive
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
User avatar
DoubleJ
Senior Member
Posts: 2367
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 9:29 am
Location: Seattle, Washington

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by DoubleJ »

that was Eddie Guerro and Chris Benoit that passed.
FWIW, IIRC, AFAIK, FTMP, IANAL. YMMV.
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

i havent watched since hogan stopped wearing yello
so they are more or less the all the same to me
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

also i guess a better question is not just whos responsible but what do we do about it now
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
User avatar
anygunanywhere
Senior Member
Posts: 7877
Joined: Fri Apr 01, 2005 9:16 am
Location: Richmond, Texas

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by anygunanywhere »

lunchbox wrote:also i guess a better question is not just whos responsible but what do we do about it now
Here is what you do, lunchbox.

Set your own standards high.

Marry a good woman who loves you and shares your core beliefs in what is good and sets high standards for herself.

Have children, provide them with a good education. Home school if necessary should your public schools be trash. Set high standards for your children.

What is most important is to take the lead in your family to show them to The Way, The Truth, and The Life.

That is what you can do to change things.

Anygunanywhere
"When democracy turns to tyranny, the armed citizen still gets to vote." Mike Vanderboegh

"The Smallest Minority on earth is the individual. Those who deny individual rights cannot claim to be defenders of minorities." – Ayn Rand
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

wile that is a good plan
i fail to see how that will solve the problems at hand
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
mr.72
Senior Member
Posts: 1619
Joined: Tue May 13, 2008 10:14 am

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by mr.72 »

anygunanywhere wrote:
lunchbox wrote:also i guess a better question is not just whos responsible but what do we do about it now
Here is what you do, lunchbox.

Set your own standards high. [snip]
Anygunanywhere

Good points Anygun.

I would say the first thing you should do, lunchbox, is become better educated about what is going on so you don't end up inadvertently being a part of the problem.

The company I work for has >65% profit margin. I guarantee you that you are using our products this very minute whether you know it or not. That's an obscene profit if I ever saw it but is anyone complaining? No.

Also gas prices are not your biggest budget item unless maybe you are a truck driver. For most of us the difference in gas prices in the past 5 years have made a max of $200 difference in our monthly budget but many people pay more than that for credit card interest or beer or some other thing and don't whine about that either. The media tells you that oil companies are evil, profits are evil, careful you don't just take this line and run with it. If profits can be obscene, and if profits can be regulated, then they can be reduced to zero and we will be living in a socialist state. If Exxon-Mobil is making obscene profits with regularity, my advice is buy stock and ride the wave along with them. Of course since their stock is down, it's clearly this is not the case. See, they have a relatively fixed market growth rate, a very high reinvestment and NRE cost, and all kinds of other factors that make even many hundreds of billions of dollars in profit look bad on the bottom line.

Regarding speculators, that's exactly what happens in every market. You buy an option on oil, you are betting it is going higher, so you can sell later when it goes higher. If you lose, then you lose money. If you win, you win. You are buying oil but not taking delivery of the actual oil, you are just buying the right to the oil at that price. This serves to dampen wild fluctuations in the market and actually hedges against fast changes that can cripple the market or cause huge problems.

I don't know of a specific example with oil but back when I worked for a different company, one part of the company made memory modules for PCs. The raw material was DRAM chips that we bought from a couple of chip suppliers. This is a commodity. You see this commodity costs real money and takes time and investment to turn into a saleable product. In this case you have to have to design and build memory modules, solder the chips on, test them, package, sell to market, maybe it takes a month. So at one time the cost of DRAM modules dropped like a rock over about a one month time period, so that it meant that the product that we had built to sell would not be able to be sold for more than a fraction of the cost to manufacture them. The company went out of business (well, this piece of the company did).

Imagine if that same thing happens with oil companies. You see if overnight the price of a barrel of oil drops from $125 to $12.50 then this would be chaos in the market. The gasoline in the tankers en route to the stations would suddenly only be worth $1/gal and it would have cost 3x that much to have made it. Exxon-Mobil would not be able to cover the cost of their own inventory and they'd end up bankrupt. What if Exxon-Mobil goes out of business in a month? What if they can't make a profit and just turn the switch off? What do you think happens to your ability to get to work? Are these oil companies really that bad? Well the so-called "speculators" hedge against these rapid price movement in the oil price that can affect the value of in-process product before it can be sold, so it stabilizes the market.

So let's say we tell Exxon-Mobil that they can only make $X in profit before we hit them with a "windfall profit tax"? Well they don't want to throw away money so once they hit $X, let's say it's in September on a calendar fiscal year, then my guess is they will just shut down production until January. Wouldn't you? I mean, if the government says that making over $50,000 per year makes you have to pay a "windfall salary" tax, are you going to get all excited about making more? Probably not. Hey wait, the government already does that. Anyway... How would you like it if the supply of gasoline were cut by 20% because a big company shut down due to hitting the target for "windfall profits" and wanted to avoid the tax? Your gasoline prices would double.

It's funny how much better the market works when we don't tinker with it. Let Exxon-Mobil figure out how much profit margin it takes to keep selling products and keep the business running. If their margins get too high, then they will suffer in sales numbers. If they let the margins get too low, they will have to lay people off and become less productive. It's a balancing act that CEOs and businessmen have been refining for 200 years. Your power as a consumer is to decide what you are willing to pay, then just stop buying that thing when it exceeds your price. So sell your SUV, move closer to work, get a bicycle, work from home, home-school the kids, earn more money to pay for gas, whatever you have to do... it's all about freedom and choices. You affect the market because supply and demand economics are directly impacted by DEMAND and we have the keys to the demand.
non-conformist CHL holder
lunchbox
Senior Member
Posts: 1266
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 10:04 pm
Location: San Angelo

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by lunchbox »

you make it seem as if i can just not buy gas anymore and nothing will come of it
i cant just move or go buy a "fuel efficient" car it is not that simple
all i know is it was not so long ago gas was a dollar what happened
they got greedy no not just exon not just the oil industry the government is in on it too
but the price of fuel effects everything
i have never seen someone defend $4 a gallon gas as you have
are you happy when you go fill up at these prices
"I have two guns. One for each of ya" Doc Holiday
"Out here, due process is a bullet."
"Why Johnny Ringo, you look like somebody just walked over your grave."
"forgiveness is between them and god its my job to arrange the meeting" man on fire
Kerbouchard
Member
Posts: 139
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2008 11:48 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

Re: who is to be held responsible

Post by Kerbouchard »

lunchbox wrote:you make it seem as if i can just not buy gas anymore and nothing will come of it
i cant just move or go buy a "fuel efficient" car it is not that simple
all i know is it was not so long ago gas was a dollar what happened
they got greedy no not just exon not just the oil industry the government is in on it too
but the price of fuel effects everything
i have never seen someone defend $4 a gallon gas as you have
are you happy when you go fill up at these prices
lunchbox, I would recommend you read a book on Economics, or better yet, a book called Atlas Shrugged.

As far as why gas prices are rising, well, demand has skyrocketed. China, alone has almost doubled worldwide demand in the last 5 years. Guess what...it's going to get worse. A lot worse.

Since human's have started drilling for oil, we have produced more oil than the day before. We have also consumed more oil than the day before. We are still consuming more oil than we were yesterday or last year, but the supply is not doing so well. Sweet crude is oil that is relatively easy to get to, and low in Sulfur content and that's the oil we were drilling when we had $1 a gallon gas. The oil we are drilling now is harder to get to and has a higher sulfur content. That means transportation costs go up, drilling costs go up, and with the higher sulfur content, refining is more extensive. As oil becomes more difficult to refine, and more difficult to get to, and more difficult to transport from further distances away, prices will go up. Added to the problem is the gov't regulation that has prohibited more refineries from getting built.

We, as humans, cannot continue to increase supply indefinitely. It just doesn't work like that, but for some reason people think they can keep increasing demand AND expect the prices to stay low. :banghead:

Prices are going to keep going up, and if you can't afford it now, then you need to think about some lifestyle changes, because you won't be able to support yourself 10 years from now. Europe has been paying over $10 a gallon for more than a decade, and we're just now beginning to catch up with them. Hold on, because it's going to be a bumpy ride.
Post Reply

Return to “Off-Topic”