Excaliber wrote:
It is never my intent to give offense, and I apologize that my quick choice of words did so in this case. I can see how it could be read that way. Thanks for calling this to my attention. Let me rephrase that thought as:
"Folks select the information sources they consider to be trustworthy and reliable, and derive their conclusions from them. Some favor sources that emphasize lessons learned from multiple real life encounters. Others have confidence in only what they have experienced personally, or rely on statistical sources for their evaluations. Still others use a combination of all of these and, when sources are in conflict, give weight to whichever ones they think are best. " I'll edit my post to reflect this more accurate wording.
Well I don't like your rephrased statement a whole lot better, because it continues to emphasize only one aspect of one's choices. It appears that you are suggesting that the only reason that one chooses which gun to carry or whether or not to carry is because of the source of their information regarding their risk. If this is your only criteria, then obviously, there is no reason to not choose whatever the biggest caliber and highest firepower as you can. However there are other things in people's lives that impact their choices, and the implication here seems to be that those other things are not valid concerns in one's life or don't lead to reasonable conclusions.
Mr.72 wrote:
The reality is that virtually all of us are at nearly zero risk, and no gun is really adequate if we are unfortunate enough to beat those odds.
I can't agree with either of these statements.
Well agree or not, statistically your chances of having to use your gun for self defense are easily rounded to zero. My point is whatever gun you choose to carry is based on a compromise on some level, and you are unlikely to wish you had carried a smaller gun or less ammo if you ever do have to use your gun in self defense.
Certainly I think many guns are indeed adequate even if they are not on the high end of the spectrum for capacity or caliber.
Not every position in the middle is equally reasonable. This goes back to what information sources you have confidence in, how you weight their relative credibility, and how you arrive at decisions on what to do about it.
No, it doesn't. Yes every position in the middle is equally reasonable, and in fact the extremes are equally reasonable, because whatever the choices are, they are more than likely made based on reason.
You weigh a number of factors and make your choice. My factors don't weigh the same as yours do, so we make a different choice. Both choices are equally reasonable, but they just have different reasons. You don't value my reasons as much as you value your own, and I don't value your reasons as much as I do my own. That's the way it is when we have different people.
And as far as weighing credibility and decisions of what to do about it, if you never have to draw your weapon in defense of persons or property, whatever you did even including carrying a .22 derringer stuck in your sock is overkill. If you get shot dead after emptying your magazine from your Kahr PM40 and only slowing down two of the three bad guys then you didn't carry enough firepower. However the odds of either of these events occurring are statistically very very small. So there is no objective way to evaluate one's strategy because there is not sufficient evidence or probability to test any hypothesis. You just have to make a choice that you can justify in your own mind and then make peace with yourself about it. Certainly you will collect data and advice from whatever sources you choose to use and make an informed choice but still, you only have the opportunity to evaluate that choice if you are very, very unfortunate. In case you draw the short straw one day, we just hope that whatever you chose to do is enough. But there always is a scenario where it's not enough no matter how much it is, and there are always scenarios where it is plenty no matter how little you actually did carry.